1. Introduction.
2. Geotechnical Estimates under Uncertainty
3. Risk Analysis of Exploration Prospects
4. Economic Analysis of Exploration Ventures
5. Exploration Plays-Risk Analysis and Economic Assessment
6. Management of Exploration Projects as Business Ventures
7. Petroleum Industry Practices of Exploration Risk Analysis
Appendix A: Methods for Calculating the Mean of a Lognormal Distribution
Appendix B: Graphical Method for Combining Probabilistic Distributions by Multiplication
Appendix C: A Recurring Problem in Estimating Prospect Reserves, Determining Reasonable “Low-side" Values (P99% and P90%)
Appendix D: Evaluating and Combining Multiple-objective Ventures
Part 1: Multiple-zone Prospect Example: Geologic and Economic Assumptions
Part 2: Combining Multiple Types of Ventures
Appendix E: Steps in Geotechnical Procedure for Prioritizing Petroleum Prospectivity in New Exploration Areas
Appendix F: Reconstructing Parent Field-size Distributions from Offshore FSDs
Appendix G: Matrix for Comparing, Ranking, and Planning New Exploration Plays