Event type:
Hybrid, Lecture
Organised by:
Central Scotland Regional Group
Venue:
In person at The Quaker Meeting House, Edinburgh, EH1 2JL, or online via Microsoft Teams
Date, time and location
This lecture will take place on 28 January 2025, from 6pm–8pm (6.15pm start).
This is a hybrid event, which can be attended in person at The Quaker Meeting House, Edinburgh, EH1 2JL, or online via Microsoft Teams.
Event details
Assessment of landslide risks requires an understanding of how future landslide behaviour (the hazard) could have an adverse impact on people, property and the environment (the consequences). However, what will happen in the future cannot be known precisely, and often cannot be predicted with confidence. This 'radical uncertainty' results from incomplete knowledge about the slope systems and the response to energy inputs (e.g. waves, rainfall, earthquakes).
Probability is a measure of uncertainty. However, estimating landslide probability should not rely on 'geology-free' statistical models. The geology does matter. It will be necessary to make judgements based on an understanding of slope conditions and behaviour as well as historical data.
This lecture examines the way in which geomorphology and an understanding of slope behaviour are key to landslide risk assessment. The focus is on predictions of landslide probability made for economic risk assessments on the UK's Yorkshire coast. This coast is associated with rapid cliff recession rates (e.g. the Holderness coast) and major landslide events (e.g. the Holbeck Hall landslide, Scarborough). However, the lecture's central messages can apply to landslide risk studies everywhere, both at the coast and inland.
Speaker
Dr Mark Lee – Ebor Geoscience.
Registration
To register to attend in person, please click here.
To join the lecture online via Microsoft Teams, please click here.
Please see the event flyer for further information.